Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.324703 0.427410 0.539825 0.670132 0.815345 0.970739 1.148223
2025-09-07 0.181247 0.312792 0.474518 0.678460 0.921042 1.194132 1.519223
2025-09-14 0.106947 0.241557 0.424974 0.671359 0.977492 1.333022 1.766441
2025-09-21 0.055991 0.181953 0.375791 0.653367 1.012376 1.440674 1.973152
2025-09-28 0.036487 0.162665 0.375489 0.693266 1.114387 1.624645 2.266018
2025-10-05 0.024675 0.151677 0.384103 0.742906 1.227215 1.820750 2.572695
2025-10-12 0.014716 0.137974 0.385245 0.780054 1.322516 1.994479 2.852016
2025-10-19 0.010109 0.135133 0.402913 0.839933 1.447100 2.204165 3.174575
2025-10-26 0.005604 0.127474 0.410592 0.884337 1.550663 2.387442 3.465135
2025-11-02 0.001294 0.109073 0.395743 0.893488 1.605891 2.509454 3.680768
2025-11-09 NaN 0.076001 0.345246 0.844082 1.578820 2.525550 3.765383
2025-11-16 NaN 0.047399 0.293079 0.785956 1.535608 2.518081 3.818530
2025-11-23 NaN 0.031638 0.264720 0.765535 1.546766 2.583863 3.967517
2025-11-30 NaN 0.023650 0.253789 0.773734 1.598902 2.703688 4.185271
2025-12-07 NaN 0.015170 0.235352 0.766319 1.626806 2.790546 4.360628
2025-12-14 NaN 0.007698 0.211926 0.746969 1.635528 2.851049 4.502075
2025-12-21 NaN 0.007220 0.221317 0.789755 1.737310 3.035759 4.801188
2025-12-28 NaN 0.007628 0.235959 0.842859 1.854837 3.241759 5.127635
2026-01-04 NaN 0.006938 0.243715 0.882531 1.952112 3.420729 5.419871
2026-01-11 NaN 0.008181 0.263738 0.946361 2.086158 3.649233 5.775407
2026-01-18 NaN 0.008082 0.275277 0.993608 2.195159 3.844252 6.088491
2026-01-25 NaN 0.005351 0.267916 1.003337 2.247060 3.962539 6.303857
2026-02-01 NaN 0.000928 0.230885 0.950778 2.202232 3.949481 6.350815